What's the difference betweeng "matching" the market and "beating" the market?
3 Answers
If your returns match the market, that means their rate of return is the same as the market in question. If your returns beat the market, that means their rate of return is higher.
There's no one 'market', mind you. I invest in mutual funds that track the S&P500 (which is, very roughly, the U.S. stock market), that track the Canadian stock market, that track the international stock market, and which track the Canadian bond market.
In general, you should be deeply dubious of any advertised investment option that promises to beat the market. It's certainly possible to do so. If you buy a single stock, for example, that stock may go up by 40% over the course of a year while the market may go up by 5%. However, you are likely taking on substantially more risk. So there's a very good chance (likely, a greater chance) that the investment would go down, losing you money.
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What about if the index you are tracking goes down, wouldn't you loose money then, and wouldn't you beat the market simply by being out of the market?– VictorCommented Apr 5, 2013 at 21:21
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Yeap, you certainly would beat the market simply by having no investments, if the market goes down. And markets do go down, regularly. See for example, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:S%26P500_(1950-12).jpg However, even staying out of the market has risks. Inflation, currency devaluation, etc. Commented Apr 6, 2013 at 13:00
From Investopedia:
"Beating the market" is a difficult phrase to analyze. It can be used to refer to two different situations:
1) An investor, portfolio manager, fund or other investment specialist produces a better return than the market average. The market average can be calculated in many ways, but usually a benchmark - such as the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average index - is a good representation of the market average. If your returns exceed the percentage return of the chosen benchmark, you have beaten the market - congrats! (To learn more, read Benchmark Your Returns With Indexes.)
2) A company's earnings, sales or some other valuation metric is superior to that of other companies in its industry.
Matching the market, I would presume will be generating returns equivalent to the index you are comparing your portfolio with. If for a sector/industry then it would be the returns generated by the sector/industry. As an index is more or less a juxtaposition of the market as a whole, people tend to use an index.
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2(That's how we quote & attribute. Please don't make 3-paragraph-long links. kthxbye ;) Commented Apr 5, 2013 at 13:03
There was a time when everyone felt their goal was to beat the respective index they followed. But of course, in aggregate, that's a mathematical impossibility. The result was that the average say large cap fund, whose benchmark index would be the S&P, would lag on average by 1-2%.
A trend toward ETFs that would match the market had begun, and the current ETFs that follow the S&P are sub .1% expense.
For the fact that studies (Google "Dalbar" for examples) show the typical investor lags not by 1% or 2%, but by far more for reasons of bad timing, my own statement that "I've gotten a return these past years of .06% less than the S&P" would have been seen many years ago as failure, now it's bragging. It handily beats the typical investor and yet, can be had by anyone wishing to stay the course, keep the ETF very long term.
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How about when the market is going down by 10%, 20%, 30% or more in a year, I could easily beat the market simply by being out of the market.– VictorCommented Apr 5, 2013 at 21:20
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And if you can avoid those down turns but be back for the upswings, you would beat the market and that would be rare. When our S&P peaked over 1400 and a year later was below 700, I wonder how many go out and got in at a lower level? Because cash flows were still negative from the small investor well after the bottom. Commented Apr 5, 2013 at 22:03
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That is exactly what stop losses help you do. I usually have my trailing stops set at 15% below the last high close, however on the 20 Mar 2013 I could see some divergence appearing in the ASX200 and thus tightened my stops to 5%. I have since been stopped out of all my positions except one (which has continued to go up). I was up 27% and am now up 24.5%, so have kept most of my gains, at a time when the ASX200 has continued to fall. I'll wait until I see signals in the ASX200 chart that the trend is changing again before I get back in. That's the benefit of having a risk management strategy.– VictorCommented Apr 6, 2013 at 3:46
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Stop-loss is certainly a good idea, but you expose yourself to additional costs (the cost of the stop-loss execution) and risks (if the stock goes down 16% then immediately rebounds, you'd have been better off not selling). Just pointing out that it's no free lunch, NOT claiming that stop-loss is a bad idea. Commented Apr 6, 2013 at 13:02