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I am purchasing a house in Indio California, that is described as being in an high risk Earthquake area. That sounds scary but the actual stats for the area are less so:

Nearest Earthquake: 2.9 Magnitude (in 08/10/1996 - 6 miles away)

Most Recent: 2.6 Magnitude (in 04/22/2016 - 19.3 miles away)

Largest: 7.3 Magnitude (in 06/28/1992 - 37.4 miles away)

A 3 magnitude Earthquake is like having a truck drive by which isn't too bad.

But what are the practical implications of this data?

For example:

  • Do I need to purchase a special type of Earthquake insurance?
  • Do I need to take any physical steps such as buying systems to provide better support for the house?
  • Is there anything I need to check in the house to make sure it can cope with an Earthquake.

Essentially, I am not really sure how to respond to the data.

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    That 7.3 one is nothing to sneer at. Look what a 6.7 did: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Northridge_earthquake
    – ceejayoz
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 16:43
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    The risk is not the earthquakes that have happened recently, but the chance of a major earthquake of the sort that happens once every few centuries. Part of the reason the cost is so high would seem to be that this sort of quake isn't really predictable.
    – jamesqf
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 18:10
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    Past performance does not predict future returns. Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 21:24
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    @Harper Tell that to the company insuring the house.
    – chepner
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 21:35
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    The implication is that your house will be at risk for earthquake damage. So yes, you should protect yourself with insurance for it...
    – user91988
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 21:42

4 Answers 4

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Earthquake insurance in California is expensive. Like very expensive. It's not required by lenders and you can get a mortgage without needing earthquake coverage. (You still need homeowners insurance, just not the earthquake rider.)

Generally, the reasoning is that houses in CA are built to withstand most earthquakes. The building code requires it. During most quakes, the only damage is from stuff breaking and falling inside the home. If a major earthquake were to happen and houses were destroyed, while your homeowners policy may not cover it, federal and state FEMA-like funds may (or may not) become available.

Yes, it's a risk, but if the lenders don't require it, most homeowners opt out of earthquake coverage because of cost.

To answer your second question: yes, there are things you can and should do inside the home to better protect you, especially if you have young children:

  1. Tether bookcases, TV stands, etc. to the wall. There are kits you can buy to anchor anything at risk of falling to the wall. If anything else, do this. Even minor earthquakes can topple shelves. You might want to also put a latch on the cupboard containing dishes so they don't all fall out during a quake.

  2. Make sure you have carbon monoxide alarms throughout the house. One in your bedroom, too.

  3. Have a plan for fire, earthquake, etc. Know how to get out of the house, have important documents easily accessible to grab-and-go.

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    The building codes get more stringent with time. If buying an older house you should find out what level of protection it was built to originally, and what if anything has been retrofitted since then. Depending on the results you may want to budget for a retrofit prior to moving in; as a potentially substantial construction project having the work done while you're still elsewhere would be less disruptive. Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 21:07
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    Regarding important documents to grab: this should be reserved for "essential" documents (Passport/ID/Driving License). Any other important document that you need not carry yourself can be (1) numerized and stored encrypted in cloud and (2) deposited in a safe (bank or home). Let the house burn/crumble, then get the documents back. Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 21:37
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    How do carbon monoxide alarms help in the event of an earthquake?
    – Lawrence
    Commented Feb 2, 2019 at 5:04
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    If houses are built to withstand earthquakes, why is earthquake insurance so inordinately expensive (and it is)? Surely the insurance is expensive because it's such a large and expensive risk, including major structural damage and collapse and not just broken dishes? Commented Feb 2, 2019 at 20:57
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    @Zach: It is a correlated risk (many buildings may fall at once in a sufficiently large quake), with a small risk pool (it's not required so nobody buys it, so the price rises, even fewer people buy it, etc.).
    – Kevin
    Commented Feb 3, 2019 at 10:51
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Soil matters more

Past earthquake data is fairly useless because it doesn't go back far enough. Apparently the First Nations and Mexicans didn't keep the data.

The ruling factor for earthquake damage is the soil the house is built on. Your town or county should have a lot of data about soils and how that affects buildings. You need to pay very close attention to that risk data.

enter image description here

Houses above bedrock do very well, houses in liquefaction zones get randomly smashed.

Don't forget wildfire

Everybody forgets wildfire. Now that we're pretty sharp on building for earthquakes, the much bigger threat in California is actually brush fires. This is a constant in all but the wettest parts of the coast and Sierra.

enter image description here

How to mitigate

First and most important, don't buy in orange zones on the liquefaction map. So have a talk with your city or county about that data, supposedly USGS has a bunch of data but what they share on their website seems to focus on the Bay Area.

Now, they talk a lot about defensible space. That's fair, I don't disagree. But it's not a cure-all. Look at neighborhoods that burn, you don't see a whole lot of single houses saved by the owner's taking defensible space seriously. So on the toughest fires, it either needs eveyone to do it, like vaccinations, or some fires are just too big for even it. All that to say, I think neighborhood matters too. If the neighborhood is too pregnant with fuel, it's at risk.

Mind you, right now as you're house shopping, you're in the rainy season, so everything looks lush and verdant. Lawns get watered because there's not a drought right now. "That greenery couldn't all burn!" It's exactly what will burn. Eucalyptus trees are downright explosive, they are so laden with oil. Rains are strong this year so things will be watered in 2019, but in another year, it will be brown and sun-bleached. Talk again to your city about wildfire risk.

Lastly, as far as earthquakes, there are many retrofits that can be done to keep a house on its foundation and in one piece during a quake. Some are mandatory and those need to be done to Code, but others are optional and can be easily added during other work, particularly if the drywall is off.

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  • Do you know if there are any good searchable liquefaction maps. All the ones I have found are static graphics. Or, as your answer seems to suggest, is talking with the city or county the only way to know? Thanks! Commented Feb 3, 2019 at 16:48
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    @fluffykittycute City Hall and the county court house are both cornucopias of data not on the web. A lot of real estate data is not on the Web. Commented Feb 3, 2019 at 16:55
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Steel frame houses are available. Steel just has a good combination of strength and flexibility and is a good choice for earthquake zones.

Also, lightweight roofing is available that gives the earthquake less weight on the roof to shake against the walls with leverage. Stone-coated-steel-roofing is a plastic roofing with an interlocking steel-flashing in it. Or standing-seam metal roofing is available in aluminum, copper, painted steel, galvalume, and stainless-steel.

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Next "big" earthquake for CA is predicted to be a doozy, per this Sept 2017 LA Timess article, with a map showing an earthquake starting in the Salton Sea, just south of Indio, and breaking to the north

California could be hit by an 8.2 mega-earthquake, and it would be catastrophic

A magnitude 8.2 earthquake would rupture the San Andreas fault from the Salton Sea — close to the Mexican border — all the way to Monterey County. The fault would rupture through counties including Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino.

An 8.2 earthquake would be far worse here because the San Andreas fault runs right through areas such as the Coachella Valley — home to Palm Springs — and the San Bernardino Valley, along with the San Gabriel Mountains north of Los Angeles. The fault is about 30 miles from downtown Los Angeles.

https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-california-mexico-earthquake-20170908-htmlstory.html

So you could be in a great position to see a "whole lotta shakin' going on".

If you are buying an older house, it might not stand up to it. A new house may survive but be badly damaged. We don't get much seismic activity on the east coast, so our tolerance to risk of something that will likely never occur is high. Your tolerance for something that is pretty likely to occur and some would say is overdue (big earthquake every hundred years or so) may be different.

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    While entertaining, this really doesn't do anything to answer the question
    – Hilmar
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 19:03
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    I'm pretty sure they publish an article like that every year.
    – quid
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 19:25
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    Could be - or just after an earthquake that is nearby emphasizes how close to home it is.
    – CrossRoads
    Commented Feb 1, 2019 at 19:27
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    Next earthquake for CA is predicted to be a doozy This doesn't make much sense. Earthquakes can't be predicted, and the "next" earthquake is not really a well-defined concept, because they can be arbitrarily small wiggles on a seismograph that a human can't even detect. Those tiny quakes happen every second somewhere in California.
    – user13722
    Commented Feb 3, 2019 at 15:06
  • Okay, next "big" earthquake...
    – CrossRoads
    Commented Feb 3, 2019 at 22:38

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