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How safe is the 4% rule if the U.S. goes back to the world meanreturns trend towards World returns?

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RonJohn
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How safe is the 4% rule if the U.S. goes back to the world mean?

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NL3294
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How safe is the 4% rule if the U.S. goes back to the mean?

I keep hearing about the 4% rule. I know it's based on historic returns, but aren't those returns based on U.S. stocks, at a time when the U.S. was ascending to the peak of "world superpower" status? Has there been any studies on how the 4% rule would fare if the U.S. stock market returns to the mean of the rest of the industrialized world? Would it make any difference?