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Dec 16, 2020 at 8:26 comment added Kaz @jpaugh interest on the loan
Dec 16, 2020 at 3:28 comment added jpaugh @Kaz I assume you mean 3% value lost due to inflation, right?
Dec 15, 2020 at 17:40 history edited Kaz CC BY-SA 4.0
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Dec 14, 2020 at 20:40 comment added Kaz @DeanMacGregor Fair point. What I was trying to highlight is that it's possible for a developed, relatively safe, world-class stock market to crash and not recover for a lot longer than 20 years.
Dec 14, 2020 at 20:35 comment added Dean MacGregor I don't understand why you only hilighted the early 80s in your chart. Obviously if you bought-in in the late 80s then you're still underwater even today. However if you bought in like 2012 then you're doing pretty well. I don't mean to take away from your point but just as a matter of accuracy that's not the only time you could have invested to have done better than break-even against 3% cost of money.
Dec 14, 2020 at 17:15 comment added Grade 'Eh' Bacon Great answer - something that would be helpful to point out, is that the noted '3% annual return comparison' would be a pretty reasonable zero risk interest rate over the period. However, since the OP will be paying interest on the mortgage, that comparison rate would be inflation (probably 1-2%) + interest to pay on their HELOC (probably 2-3%). So with a comparison rate of say 5% total annual 'risk free' return by not taking on the debt, it would take far, far longer to recover.
Dec 14, 2020 at 17:12 history edited Kaz CC BY-SA 4.0
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Dec 14, 2020 at 17:04 history answered Kaz CC BY-SA 4.0