Questions tagged [volatility]

For questions related to measurements of the range of returns for a given equity, bond, or market index.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
0
votes
1answer
71 views

How to calculate a trailing stop loss for a gamma squeeze?

I'm pretty sure AMC is going to hit crazy prices in a couple of weeks to months. A Korean AI traded fund just dumped Facebook and Wallmart for AMC. Plus, I got in a pretty big fight with some ...
0
votes
1answer
145 views

Rapids (RPD) cryptocurrency: 3190500% increase in 1 hour

I noticed that the price of Rapids (RPD) cryptocurrency increased by 31,915,000% (market cap: $400bn) in 1 hour yesterday on 8th May. Shortly after (5-10 minutes), the price dropped by 99.6% (market ...
2
votes
2answers
151 views

How do stock volatility halts work?

I was watching GME stock on Feb 24, 2021, and it halted twice: once at 3:38pm ET, and it resumed trading at 3:43pm ET again at 3:46pm ET, and it did not resume trading until after 4:00pm ET This is ...
1
vote
2answers
385 views

Why can’t I short Game Stop right now?

I attempted to put in a small short sell order for GME (since I believe the price is currently way overvalued at >$300), but it said the order could not be performed because there are no available ...
0
votes
0answers
63 views

Best place to keep savings for home down payment?

I'm currently saving for a first home down payment (in USA), but don't want to keep a large pile of money sitting in a low-yield savings account while I'm looking for the right home. I want to find a ...
2
votes
3answers
148 views

Buy and hold VIX futures for guaranteed profit?

This question was inspired by this Motley Fool article: VIX Investing: Why Not Just "Buy Low Fear, Sell High Fear"? Buying low fear and selling high fear seems to be a guaranteed profit ...
0
votes
1answer
46 views

If the UVXY and SVXY ETFs both track the same VIX futures, why are they so different?

Both UVXY (https://www.etf.com/UVXY) and SVXY (https://www.etf.com/SVXY) track the first- and second-month VIX futures positions. SVXY, however, is an inverse tracker while UVXY is not. What I don't ...
0
votes
1answer
96 views

Mysterious stock dips [duplicate]

I am relatively new to the stock market and might not know all the useful terminology, so bear with me as I will do my best to explain what I am trying to grasp and hopefully I will be able to learn ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

At what % about the stock price should I sell and take my profits? [closed]

at what percentage above the cost price should you walk? prices fluctuate therefore? what should the end point be?
0
votes
0answers
36 views

How does TD Ameritrade calculate the overall volatility for each expiration? [duplicate]

The image below shows option chains in thinkorswim. Note the percentages on the right hand side: The percentage on the right hand side is the overall volatility for options in each expiration (while ...
-1
votes
3answers
518 views

How does one lose money when reasonably buying with leverage?

I'm one of the newbie retail investors that this guy (and presumably a lot of his colleagues) seem to hate. Ironically, my biggest loss was from agreeing with specialists that the recent rally is ...
1
vote
1answer
68 views

Very short-term drop in stock price

When looking at stock price charts, you sometimes see a large drop in the price for just a short amount of time. Is this simply an error in the presentation of the chart, or has the price actually ...
0
votes
1answer
51 views

Difference of NAV and market price on stock shares and funds

For the case of companies, my understanding is that the NAV (net asset value) is all its assets minus its liabilities. Then, this value is divided by the total number of shares the company has issued ...
3
votes
1answer
249 views

Ballpark range for an IV Crush

I would love to enter a few options trades but have learned (the hard way) that moves from high to low IV can mess the returns even when calling the right direction of the move. This is explained in ...
0
votes
1answer
79 views

Calculating volatility percentage for a given time period

I am looking at an EMEA liquidity report. One measure I am interested in is the volatility. The report includes a list of various indexes and the "Average Volatility " for a period of 5 days ...
0
votes
1answer
81 views

Why did the VIX trade for so much around Q4 2011?

It looks like the TVIX in 2011 was trading at some unimaginable prices. $2B USD? Marketwatch has these same numbers. Were these numbers real? How? This seems like an amazing bit of trivia from ...
5
votes
3answers
1k views

Why isn't “everyone” short VXX?

I'm going to attempt to keep this question short instead of providing some rambling, and very likely, wrong explanation of the question. As far as I can tell from my novice research the VXX note is ...
0
votes
1answer
80 views

For a mutual fund - if jensen's alpha keeps increasing with time, then how does beta of the mutual fund get impacted with time?

I am building an excel model to calculate rolling alpha at a monthly level to analyze different equity mutual funds. Along with the rolling alpha, I am also calculating rolling absolute returns and ...
0
votes
1answer
194 views

What possible reasons are behind the GBP -> EUR rate being the same for a few days?

The GBP -> EUR exchange rate has been stuck at a value of 1.11 since Saturday 7 of September, up from 1.10 since the day before. This seems to me highly irregular, as if all trading activity has ...
0
votes
1answer
250 views

Can ETF be short-squeezed?

Can ETFs be short-squeezed? I'm not familiar with how they work. For ETFs like SPY, it seems it buys and sells stocks in the portfolio. For ETFs like UVXY, it seems it has no real stocks. How does ...
2
votes
1answer
431 views

What's the difference between a variance swap and a long straddle option trade?

A long straddle is when one is anticipating a swing in stock price, but you’re not sure which direction it will go. And a variance swap is a financial derivative used to hedge or speculate on the ...
0
votes
1answer
94 views

Is it likely for large buy to open orders to be filled on thinly traded options?

Suppose you are very bullish or bearish on a stock but its options are thinly traded. Some stocks have an options market that doesn't exceed $200,000 even around earnings time. Say you want to ...
1
vote
3answers
209 views

What are the most highly leveraged ways for a retail investor to bet against volatility (or inverse volatility)?

I am aware that there is an inverse VIX ETF, but it is not leveraged. The only other way I can think of is to buy VXX puts? Is there another method I am not aware of that provides more leverage?
1
vote
2answers
119 views

Is the limiting factor in the volume of the options market options sellers or option buyers?

For example, options trade volume is less than that of equities, and most option trading is concentrated amongst a small group of top companies. However, that doesn't mean that there are profitable ...
0
votes
1answer
131 views

How come none of the VIX ETFs track the index exactly? [duplicate]

For example the VXX ETF (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VXX) does not track the index exactly (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/)
1
vote
1answer
148 views

How was the media able to identify that certain VIX put and calls were made by the same entity?

From the article below, how can someone be certain all these trades were performed by the same entity? To fund it, the investor sold approximately 260,000 VIX puts expiring in January with a ...
1
vote
2answers
153 views

Options Volatility and Settlement during a merger and acquisition

I'm trying to figure out how the vol of an option on a target change when the deal is a mix of cash stock. We know that in a cash deal, vol creeps to 0 as the deal collects approvals. Stock deal, vol ...
1
vote
2answers
181 views

Hedge against crypto currency / exchange risk

I have securities that have crypto-currencies (say, XBT/BTC) as a base currency and I want to avoid the tremendous volatility of this market. There are options for margin trading of sorts (shorts, ...
0
votes
0answers
317 views

Are there speculative ETFs analogous to investment funds?

Are there ETFs that bundle up highly speculative investments with high risk/reward profiles? For instance, they might currently include Zambian, Nigerian, Brazilian and Venezuelan bonds; ...
0
votes
3answers
540 views

Why does increased volatility always mean higher call prices?

I understand that apparently implied volatility of a call option increases as the underlying price of the stock deviates further and further from the moving average. That mostly makes sense, because ...
1
vote
2answers
110 views

Short term (3-4 yr) positions, willing to take higher volatility [closed]

for my fiancé’s birthday I would like to open her an investment or savings account with a small amount of capital (~$500/1000) to be used as a short term investment account. The goal would be to reach ...
1
vote
1answer
109 views

Why did SPVXSPIT drop 95% in February?

In February 2018, SPVXSPIT (S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures Inverse Daily Index) seems to have dropped about 95%, but after much googling, there does not seem to be any discussion about this. The ...
3
votes
1answer
5k views

Where can I find Bitcoin Misery Index?

There has been a lot written about Bitcoin Misery Index: The index is called the Bitcoin Misery Index (BMI) and was designed as a trading tool for investors to take advantage of volatility in BTC ...
0
votes
3answers
181 views

Why do large price stocks have larger price fluctuations?

Amazon stock can handily have 40 dollar intraday price fluctuations, but if that happened to Snap or Fitbit, those stocks would go bankrupt. Is there a fundamental reason why price fluctuation sizes ...
0
votes
2answers
821 views

Do stock prices go up and down by percentage or by dollar?

I am studying the term volatility drag. The common example is that I invest $1000 in a company stock. Say, the stock goes down 50% and than goes up 50%. This would result in $250 loss. I would only ...
1
vote
1answer
132 views

Do Stop Loss orders make sense even though they increase volatility?

If most people add Stop Loss orders to their portfolios, then when the market "corrects", then all these SL triggers will fire, but there won't be enough buyers, so prices will fall further, and ...
7
votes
3answers
868 views

Volatility indicator

Is there an indicator for the volatility of a stock? When I say indicator I mean like P/E ration, book value etc. If yes, where can I find it? I follow yahoo finance by the way.
0
votes
2answers
136 views

When using the VIX index, is it similar to calculating volatility?

Im trying to understand the VIX Index, it gives the implied volatility of the S&P500. Now if I was to calculate the volatility of the S&P500 using standard deviations of the returns over a ...
70
votes
6answers
8k views

At what point do index funds become unreliable?

Passively investing in exchange-traded funds that track some broad index is often recommended for private investors that don't have the time or expertise for active investment. In particular, index ...
3
votes
1answer
73 views

Price of a call at expiration

I have a covered call that is going to expire in 15 minutes. It's $1.30 in the money. I'd expect with no time value left, the price to equal the intrinsic value ($1.30). However, it's still valued at $...
2
votes
2answers
155 views

How to continuously plot futures data

Since futures trade on a contract by contract basis, how can you plot the price over an extended period of time? As a reference I have included a plot of VX futures (VIX CBOE volatility index) from ...
1
vote
1answer
538 views

What's overnight volatility?

https://www.ig.com/uk/view-ig/2016/09/20/the-central-bank-fest-ramps-up-34452 In the FX market, USD/JPY is the pair to watch through Asia today, with the options market showing implied overnight ...
2
votes
3answers
12k views

How do I calculate drift from a series of stock prices?

Say I have stock prices 100 120 140 160 180 200 210 .... X every day for a year. How do I calculate drift and volatility? I am trying to find some formulas online, but I am confused by terms ...
0
votes
1answer
91 views

What is Risk Parity?

Just heard this term used on TV. It seemed to be referring to some sort of automation. How does risk parity stabilize/flatten the markets?
0
votes
1answer
193 views

In option pricing formulas, is the volatility and short rate a decimal or a percentage?

In the BS option pricing formula, when entering values for volatility and short rate, do we enter them as percentages or decimals? Take the time unit to be a year, i.e. if we want to price something ...
0
votes
1answer
239 views

How to deal with activist targeting of individual stocks?

My portfolio contains stocks in specific American companies which I bought when I figured their stock was underpriced. Now there are public attacks against some of these individual companies that ...
4
votes
2answers
419 views

What are some signs that the stock market might crash? [closed]

I have about one year of experience as an investor and my goal is to aggressively grow my portfolio over the next 40 years for retirement. I have had good success achieving my goal over the last year ...
1
vote
1answer
156 views

What does “half weighted” mean in this context?

The flip side of a strong dollar is weakness in other currencies. The U.S. dollar index is about half weighted in the Euro, and that unit broke down to multiyear lows. However, the Euro has been ...
2
votes
1answer
190 views

How to read options prices

I have been doing research on Options and thus far most of it has been relatively theoretical (mainly pricing models and put/call hedging strategies). Recently I have been looking into actually ...
7
votes
4answers
2k views

What happens to all of the options when they expire?

Most option traders don't want to actually buy or sell the underlying stock. They just use options as a trading vehicle perhaps making money on the time decay, on changes to volatility, etc. My ...