Questions tagged [speculation]

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4answers
195 views

How are retail forex brokers different from betting shops?

I'm struggling to find differences between bookmakers and retail forex brokers (e.g. OANDA). The former deals with horse racing, greyhound racing and sports, while the latter deals with currency ...
5
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1answer
197 views

How can I gamble in a “lottery” by using financial instruments?

I noticed that some financial instruments have lottery-like payoffs. If that is really the case, I am planning to play the "lottery" using financial instruments instead of the lotteries ...
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6answers
6k views

What does Benjamin Graham mean by “Those who speculate make money for their brokers”?

In The Intelligent Investor, page 36, Zwieg, who is writing the commentary, states "those who invest make money for themselves. Those who speculate make money for their brokers." Why is it the case ...
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1answer
54 views

Will Bloomberg Composite Crude Oil Subindex rise when Crude oil prices rise?

Since the oil prices have plunged recently, I want to capitalize on this opportunity by investing in WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil ETC which tracks Bloomberg Composite Crude Oil Subindex. Question: 1) ...
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2answers
194 views

How to hedge against a potential collapse of the European Union? [closed]

I know this is unlikely, but the future of the EU looks bleak. The Coronavirus shattered the European states, making some override the Schengen Area rules and enforce cross-border checks. I'm looking ...
2
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1answer
126 views

Speculation in The Intelligent Investor

I'm reading The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham, and I'm on Chapter 1: Investment versus Speculation. On page 21, he has this footnote: Speculation is beneficial on two levels.... Secondly, ...
2
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2answers
280 views

What is moving the cryptocurrency market apart for speculators?

I would like to know if there is anything that moves the crypto market apart from the speculators, or are cryptocurrencies purely speculative? For example, in the oil industry there are hedgers who ...
1
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1answer
75 views

How to find out the ratio of speculators to hedgers?

When investing, I would like to find out the ratio of speculators and hedgers that are in the market. For some market, such as commodity, I guess you can make an educated guess, yet for many other ...
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2answers
369 views

How do speculators make profit?

I am having some difficulties understanding the difference between hedging and speculation. HEDGING AND FUTURE CONTRACTS I know that if the investor gains when the price decrease and loses when the ...
1
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0answers
62 views

When Does “External” Data Qualify as Material Nonpublic Information?

For the sake of example, let's say company X is a publicly traded company that manages a chain of department stores. I go to each storefront and setup security cameras to monitor customer traffic, ...
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2answers
392 views

What does “burned through $300 million mean”?

In the book "Antifragility of Islamic Finance: The Risk-Sharing Alternative" by Umar Rafi and Abbas Mirakhor, on page 101 I read the following line: "Pets.com, the poster-child company of the dot ...
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1answer
88 views

Buying the whole range of prices of an asset (stock, commodity, etc)

Imagine a scenario when I buy 1 gram of gold when the price hits a round value of $37, $38, $39 (and so on) and sell these grams for $0.50 more (after paying fees) when the prices go up. That is, if ...
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0answers
313 views

Are there speculative ETFs analogous to investment funds?

Are there ETFs that bundle up highly speculative investments with high risk/reward profiles? For instance, they might currently include Zambian, Nigerian, Brazilian and Venezuelan bonds; ...
3
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1answer
826 views

Given how much price decay there is in inverse (short) ETF's, are the inverse ETF's profitable even in a prolonged bear market?

To me some of these products look like they are designed in a the-house-always-wins manner, especially when one looks at their 1yr or 5yr charts. This observation applies for general ones bearish on ...
3
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5answers
757 views

Isn't an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) a surefire way to make tons of money?

I know this sounds stupid, but all the crypto currencies do really, really well after an initial Coin Offering (ICO), with some coins going up 10000% in 6 months. I find it puzzling: shouldn't ...
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2answers
488 views

Using Marine Traffic (AIS) to make stock picks?

I don't know anything about Gnuais, but satellite and terrestrial ship tracking? It's all over the place. https://www.ihs.com/products/ais-live-ship-tracker.html (just one example; there are many ...
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2answers
85 views

Are Speculative Shares safe?

I am a beginner investor. I have seen some speculative shares where I saw a potential of profit earning. But I am scared of the risk. So I want to ask if I need to be aware of something while trading ...
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3answers
475 views

Can I trade options purely as a leveraged product?

Following the Three Ways to Buy Options article from NASDAQ, there are supposedly three different ways to trade options after buying them: Exercise the option at maturity Exercise the option before ...
5
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1answer
251 views

How does a CFD work behind the scenes?

I'm curious as to how the Contracts For Difference (CFDs) work. I understand how they work for the consumer side - you enter into an agreement to pay/be paid the difference between the stock price at ...
6
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1answer
176 views

Is there a financial product that allows speculation on GDP?

is there an financial product linked to the GDP of the US (or other countries)? There are plenty of derivatives and certificates whose underlying equity is the Dow Jones, which makes it possible to ...
6
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2answers
1k views

With respect to insider trading, what is considered “material information”?

I'm trying to understand what is considered "material" information held by an executive of a company. There is company information that an executive (say insider) will know that a public investor will ...
1
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1answer
362 views

Reasons behind a large price movement of a penny stock without any recent news releases?

Sometimes I see penny stocks on the Yahoo! Finance page move by about 100% in a single day. For example, this stock shows a 91% gain on 10-Jan-2014. By browsing the news reports, I cannot see ...
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1answer
229 views

What factors you have do you count on to speculate effectively?

What are the factors that you consider if you want to make a thoughtful speculation decision (as thoughtful as being a speculator lets you be)? I can only count these: Market trends Patterns on the ...
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1answer
167 views

Can a non-Chinese private investor bet on Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY) going up vs. USD?

Is it possible for a non-Chinese private individual investor to bet on the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY) going up against the U.S. dollar ?
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2answers
247 views

How to bet on Japanese government bonds interest rate going up in the coming years?

Is there a way for a private individual investor to bet on Japanese Government bonds interest rate going up in the coming years?
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1answer
227 views

Does the current Dodd Frank Act ban speculation in OTC swaps?

Does the current version of Dodd Frank ban speculative positions in non-exchange cleared (OTC) swaps? It does not refer to any specific type of swap. But my current understanding of the bill is that ...
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3answers
489 views

Are my purchases of stock, mutual funds, ETF's, and commodities investing, or speculation?

Every other week money is deducted from my paycheck to purchase mutual funds inside my 401k, every so often I dump money into an individual investment account to purchase stocks, mutual funds, and ETF'...
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2answers
704 views

How to consider stock splits with respect to ETFs? Any different than for regular shares?

"Splits are used to increase the availability of shares on the market." I am unsure about this statement because you can increase the availability of shares through third-party funds like with ...
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2answers
237 views

Buffettesque Speculation in Consumer Sector, legendary-investor -philia?

Some corps in consumer sector are glamoured in many books associating to Graham and W. Buffett, I think even some books by Graham falls into this problem. The books I have covered so far have not ...
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2answers
187 views

Taxation from variations in currency

Assuming: I am a UK tax payer I live in the UK Assume I sell a good online, for $100. One payment method I accept is Bitcoins. Bitcoins at the moment are extremely volatile, it wouldn't surprise ...
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7answers
2k views

What is the difference between speculating and investing?

I keep hearing people saying that a speculation is NOT an investment, but isn't it really just investment with high risk?
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1answer
214 views

How to take advantage of record high household debt in Canada?

The Canadian household debt/disposable income ratio is currently (December, 2010) at a record of 1.48. Reference: The Globe and Mail - Household debt ratio hits record. What are some investment ...