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Questions tagged [risk]

Risk is the potential that a chosen action or activity (including the choice of inaction) will lead to a loss (an undesirable outcome). The notion implies that a choice having an influence on the outcome sometimes exists (or existed). Potential losses themselves may also be called "risks". Any human endeavor carries some risk, but some are much more risky than others.

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4 votes
1 answer
280 views

What's funny about "He leveraged his @#% deep into soy beans and cocoa futures" in The Jerk (1979)?

Near the end of the comedy The Jerk (1979), a character explains how their family got rich: All I did was take the money you sent home and embarked on a periodic investment, in a no-load mutual fund. ...
0 votes
1 answer
131 views

Can shares be recovered from a broker you can't reach?

At the risk of sounding paranoid, I'm curious about how one mitigates the risk that your country could collapse due to internal strife. Hypothetical: Investor owns shares in two companies (A and B), ...
0 votes
0 answers
56 views

How to mitigate systematic risk?

I'm studying for the SIE in the United States. I'm learning about the different risks and how to mitigate them. The only way given to minimize systematic risk is to hedge using puts on an index such ...
1 vote
2 answers
131 views

Why does NPV correspond to "cash in our pockets now" for risky investments?

For a positive NPV project with risk free cash flows and assuming access to a competitive money market, it is trivial to show (by appropriately borrowing or lending at the risk-free rate) that the ...
-2 votes
3 answers
335 views

What percent of a portfolio should be directed to high risk assets to enable outsized returns?

Over the years, I predicted a few assets that went up in price a ton. However, I never owned any of those assets. Stuff like FAANG, Tesla, Bitcoin. Had I invested in those at a young age by the time I ...
0 votes
1 answer
47 views

How to compare "block lists" for brokerages?

I currently invest with Merrill Edge and they have a fairly strict "block list" and don't allow many high risk securities to be purchased. Here is an example: Merrill Edge blocks active ETFs?...
2 votes
1 answer
3k views

Tax lien investing: Possible in Canada?

I was just reading on the tax lien investing process and how it works in the United States. I was wondering if it happens in other countries. In specific, I would like to know if it happens in Canada ...
0 votes
1 answer
133 views

Risk of bonds bought on the primary and the secondary markets respectively

Let's suppose investor 'A' buys $100,000 of US inflation-linked treasury bonds, and that investor 'B' buys $100,000 of an ETF that tracks the exact same type of TIPS. Let's suppose that, after ten ...
4 votes
1 answer
744 views

Does a portfolio of low beta stocks, small stocks or value stocks still outperform the market?

I am new to investing. Currently I'm trying to read about it as much as possible. There is one question that bothers me quite much that I cannot find an answer to, so I decided to ask here. There is a ...
3 votes
2 answers
485 views

Is overnight rate swap ETF viable alternative to low-risk bank products?

I live in a eurozone country. While the ECBs deposit facility rate is 3.75%, interest rates on savings accounts and similar low-risk products are less than 1% with the best offer being 2%. Overnight ...
0 votes
1 answer
325 views

Is it possible to hold stock certificates directly without any counterparty risk whatsoever?

I would like to invest in stocks of various companies, however I am deeply concerned with the counter-party risk that the institution which holds the assets on my behalf carries (e.g., a bank or a ...
6 votes
2 answers
3k views

Why do secured bonds have less default risk than unsecured bonds?

Why do secured bonds have less default risk than unsecured bonds? Secured bonds are backed by specific assets of an issuer while Unsecured bonds are backed by all assets of the issuer - so shouldn't ...
0 votes
1 answer
126 views

Is it worth it to diversify the "risk-free" portion of a portfolio across multiple assets?

I am looking into the constructing of my own sort of "structured product" and have been thinking about the risk profiles of the "risk-free" portion of products like this. Generally,...
0 votes
2 answers
118 views

Whose balance sheet is relevant to gauge the risk that I lose my shares in case of financial bankruptices?

If there is a financial crisis in the future; whose balance sheet is relevant to assess the risk that I lose my shares in case of bankruptcies of financial institutions? I assume it is the balance ...
5 votes
1 answer
918 views

Are Bonds holder paid before Stock holders in USA unlike Europe AT1 Bond holders?

I see news that AT1 holders of Credit Suisse , a type of bonds that were a solution to 2008 crisis. ...They were created in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis as a way for failing banks to absorb ...
47 votes
9 answers
261k views

How do rich people guarantee the safety of their money, when savings exceed the FDIC limit?

I am curious how a millionaire would guarantee the safety of his money, given that the FDIC only insures up to $250K of an individual's deposits at a bank. If someone had $3 million that they wanted ...
0 votes
2 answers
146 views

How do I compute the annual risk-free return?

I need to know what the annual risk-free rate of return has been. I know no such rate actually exists, so let's say I want to use the "overnight" rate as a proxy. But the overnight rate is ...
1 vote
1 answer
165 views

Risk to Reward Ratio Calculation

I'm learning how to do a Risk/Reward ratio and want to make sure I am calculating this correctly. Let's start with a .92 per share of 500 shares purchase = $460. I expect the stock to increase by ....
1 vote
1 answer
80 views

How would one profit from an accurate forecast of tomorrow's price varience?

If one had a reasonably accurate forecast of the variance of the price of some market security, such that one knows approximately what the price variance will be tomorrow, but not whether the price ...
0 votes
1 answer
256 views

Do I own ETFs when going through a broker?

I am considering investing in ETFs, mostly to learn, and without any formal financial education. If this matters for the question, I am French living in France. I started to read about ETFs and found ...
0 votes
1 answer
156 views

Why are ETFs rated at 6 on Risk and Reward Profiles?

I am considering investing some money in shares and since I do not at all a specialist, I wanted to do this on ETFs that would be aligned with some large indexes (iShares Europe for instance). My ...
-2 votes
2 answers
4k views

Can I trust Zelle to credit my account for added charges?

I listed a dress for $300 on FB Marketplace. The buyer uses Zelle so I set up an account because D said that was the only way she sent funds. She said she sent Zelle the money. So I get an email ...
0 votes
2 answers
139 views

Why is simply buying an in-money-call and a lower strike price put near an event date a good low-risk high-reward strategy?

My premise is that buying both an in-money-call and an lower strike price put near an event date, is perhaps, one of the better low-risk high-reward strategy. Why? If the stock moves significantly ...
0 votes
2 answers
356 views

how can you calculate the sweet spot for a risk / reward ratio in a partnership

Let's take 2 parties, A and B. A has a tool that can raise the value of an investment by a known quantity (Q) with an estimated risk factor (R). A failure would incur a loss of (L). B has money (M) ...
24 votes
11 answers
7k views

Why should I hold stocks for the long term when the risk of more companies going bankrupt increases over time?

The longer the time frame, the larger the risk that any given company is going to go bust. If this is the case, then why is long term stock investing encouraged? Isn't it more risky to invest for the ...
-1 votes
1 answer
98 views

What percentage of companies could have a consistent lower "return on capital" to its owners/shareholders and a higher risk than the S&P 500?

What percentage of companies/startups in the US or any other country could have a consistent lower "return on capital" to its owners/shareholders and at the same time a higher risk than the ...
0 votes
1 answer
110 views

Financial and/or credit risk management

A portfolio consists of two (long) assets £100 million each. The probability of default over the next year is 10% for the first asset, 20% for the second asset, and the joint probability of default is ...
0 votes
3 answers
113 views

What is the downside for covered call options?

What is the downside of selling covered calls on the stocks or ETFs you own that have appreciated significantly from their original purchase price?
0 votes
1 answer
20 views

Calculate the required return using an asset pricing model

The current stock price of HHBA A is 101.00$. The last dividend payed for HHBA A is 3.50$, and dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 6%. Now i should calculate the required return using ...
0 votes
1 answer
94 views

Understanding buying power and position size relative to fixed percentage risk on total capital in any given trade?

I'm trying to wrap my head around understanding buying power, position size and how it's relative to how much I can risk in any single given trade depending on my initial total capital. For example, ...
19 votes
3 answers
4k views

Why would long-term investor care about volatility? [duplicate]

I'm 35 and I want to start investing for my retirement. My question is, why would you care about volatility if your investment horizon is 30+ years? In order to get a more clear picture of volatility ...
6 votes
6 answers
562 views

Should I invest everything in emerging markets ETF when I'm young?

Lifecycle investing is growing in popularity in the industry, where people in their 20s and 30s are invested into high risk portfolios (equities) and people approaching retirement are transitioned ...
0 votes
1 answer
81 views

How do GICs compare to something like an S&P500 index fund in terms of risk? [closed]

How do GICs compare to something like an S&P500 index fund in terms of risk? Could it be argued that index funds are generally as safe as any investment? Is there any data or models to measure or ...
0 votes
2 answers
98 views

How do the long-term returns of a high-variance investment compare to those of a low-variance investment?

Variance over the short-term is a useful way of comparing the risk of investments. Got a home purchase or large medical expense coming up? Better not to have too high variance on your invested savings....
0 votes
1 answer
106 views

Today Stock Price is 15. Find value of Call Option

Stock price is $15 today. In a year, it has 50%-50% chances of going up or down. If it goes up, then 80% probability of the price being $25. If it goes down, then there is a 40% probability of price ...
2 votes
0 answers
76 views

How much risk is there in securities lending? [duplicate]

I worked for a startup for many years and as a result I have a lot of shares in a company that went public via a SPAC deal. I know it's risky but I'm choosing to sell them over a period of a few years ...
4 votes
3 answers
417 views

How can a mutual fund be considered any risk at all if it has an average 5 year 17% return? [duplicate]

I am confused as to why mutual funds/ETFs in lets say BRSVX - Bridgeway Small-Cap Value could be considered having any risk since the 5 year return is at 17%. Doesnt that mean that in 5 years it hasn'...
69 votes
10 answers
13k views

If a broad long-term investment in the stock market is such a good deal, why don't banks do the "obvious" things?

There is a fundamental discrepancy or paradox that has been keeping me, and many others, away from the stock market. Before I explain it, let me mention some selected popular questions on this site in ...
4 votes
1 answer
364 views

Buying a home in a high-price, climate change-exposed region

I moved to southern California recently for work. This is the first time I'm stable enough to consider buying a home. Based on some standard decision rules for home buying, I'm ready: I can afford the ...
0 votes
2 answers
121 views

Is an issuer risk free financial product secure if the bank holding it goes under?

When purchasing ETFs or other financial products, I only choose finance products that are "issuer risk free", which means that in case the institution that sells these products goes broke I ...
5 votes
3 answers
469 views

What's the difference between buying bonds and buying bond funds for the long-term?

I know that if I buy a bond and hold to maturity, I will get the value plus the coupon. If rates go up, the resale value of my bond will go down, and vice versa. However, what happens if I buy into ...
9 votes
8 answers
13k views

Losing Money with Norbert's Gambit

In attempt to avoid the usual 1.5-2% exchange fees levied by brokers, I perform Norbert's gambit: I purchase DLR.TO in CAD (Canadian dollars) from TSX, journal it over to DLR.U.TO, and then sell the ...
0 votes
1 answer
79 views

Searching for stock risk measure where a value of around 15 is fine

I am reading through some stock analysis documents (unfortunately they don't seem to be available online). They calculate something that they call "risk". For Amazon stocks its around 18 (...
1 vote
1 answer
137 views

Did I give bad advice about investing in market making firms?

Background: I recently explained to an amateur trader (who happens to be a family member) about the basics of the bid-ask spread and how market makers make money from the spread. As an offhand remark, ...
3 votes
0 answers
66 views

Diversification vs VTSAX

What advantage do I gain by holding a mix of mutual funds over just VTSAX? One oughtn't put all one's eggs in one basket. One mitigates risk by holding multiple distinct asset classes in multiple ...
0 votes
2 answers
174 views

What is the highest return risk-free investment available?

Investing is about balancing risk and reward. Any good investment will typically allow for nominal risk for a healthy return, but let's suppose that's not what I'm looking for. I want something with ...
1 vote
1 answer
109 views

If I buy to close a call position and the option writer defaults, am I liable for the original position?

Let's say that I sell covered calls and they are purchased by Alice. Later, I buy these calls (which were written by Bob) to close my position. Let's say that Bob's short calls were naked. Suppose ...
2 votes
3 answers
265 views

Should I invest 50% of my savings (20K) into a family business?

Somebody in my family is proposing an investment opportunity. The deal is as follows. You put 20K and he is going to use it to sow rice, the return depends on the price per kg of rice but he tells me ...
2 votes
1 answer
241 views

Constructive and relatively safe investment options

I'm a single, a grad student, and have some personal savings. Saving money is in my character, and for the last 5 years, I've been saving 1/8th of my monthly income, on average. In the future, I know ...
0 votes
5 answers
1k views

If options gives you the RIGHT but not the OBLIGATION to exercise them, then why are they being forcefully exercised if they expired in the money?

Now, I know what you're thinking. If it's in the money, isn't it good that your broker automatically exercise the options for you on expiration date? Well, yes and no. If you somehow managed to miss ...

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