Questions tagged [risk-management]

Risk management is the process of identification, analysis and acceptance or mitigation of uncertainty in investment decisions.

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4answers
135 views

Is it reasonable to split my money across two banks for security?

I am working to build an emergency fund, so I have money available in case I need it. I have read advice about keeping money split across multiple banks, for security. The idea is: if one of my banks ...
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1answer
82 views

Is there a currency risk in UCITS ETFs?

I'm interested in buying ETFs that track the US market, but because of the latest EU MiFID regulations, I'm only allowed to purchase investment products that come accompanied by some "KID", a Key ...
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1answer
450 views

Minimize risk of losing a lot of value for your savings during the corona crisis

Which investment possibilities are there for minimizing the risk that your cash savings (for simplicity let's say 100,000$) will severely lose value during the corona crisis? The focus is on avoiding ...
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4answers
68 views

Pensions and personal circumstances, assessment and alternatives

Pensions are very popular financial products, and are quite strongly encouraged, both through favourable tax laws and employers contributions. In all cases I am aware of, neither the contributions ...
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1answer
63 views

What happened to LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management)?

I recently learned about the LTCM fiasco and I find it ludicrous. From Wikipedia: Initially successful with annualized return of over 21% (after fees) in its first year, 43% in the second year and ...
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47 views

Are uninsured financial institutions riskier places to keep my wealth, now that cryptocurrencies make embezzlement easier?

Suppose that one or more high-level officers at a stock brokerage, or other retail financial institution, decide to embezzle most of the assets held there. The embezzlers liquidate the assets into ...
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554 views

Should I buy a new house now the coronavirus is breaking out? [closed]

Just looking for some advice on whether the conclusions I have come to are sound. I live in the UK. In November (pre-virus) a house came on the market in an area my partner and I really like, a ...
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10answers
11k views

If a broad long-term investment in the stock market is such a good deal, why don't banks do the “obvious” things?

There is a fundamental discrepancy or paradox that has been keeping myself, and many others, away from the stock market. Before I explain it, let me mention some selected popular questions on this ...
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192 views

Is it true that you can't take money out of the market using only risk management?

Is it really true what a lot of traders say: that in order for you to make money in the stock market it suffices to use risk management? For the following reasons, I think it is not true: Suppose ...
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1answer
123 views

Stock market fluctuations and when to sell out [duplicate]

I recently bought a medical marijuana stock at its lowest point. It is estimated that it will reach a high price by 2023. How can I know for sure when to sell out?
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1answer
176 views

Outsourcing rental risk: selling right to rent house?

I am wondering whether there is a way to get rid of the risk associated with renting a property one owns by selling the right to rent that property for a certain period? I am especially interested in ...
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53 views

Options trade - statistically expected return calculation?

I also asked this question here, for it to get more visibility. I am calculating expected return for composite option strategies based on event probabilities provided by the broker. For example, ...
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361 views

Should we consider real estate investment low, middle or high risk?

Should private investors investing in a specific (that is, not through some fund) real estate treat it as low, middle or high risk? Issues I consider: It's true that things move slowly in real ...
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3answers
285 views

Best way to cash-out for passive income

First, my investing knowledge is very limited (still new to this, still learning). Second, my question is somewhat unfocused, sorry about that but I hope that there is a somewhat concrete answer, ...
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2answers
87 views

Forward contract hedge and market-maker

Referring to Mcdonald's "Derivatives markets" book, a market-maker or arbitrageur must be able to offset the risk of a forward contract. It is possible to do this by creating a synthetic forward ...
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1answer
123 views

U.S. 10 year treasury bonds behavior during crisis

It's often advised to buy and keep government bond to protect ourselves against the next upcoming crisis. (For example, in a defensive stock portfolio you can have 50% of stock and maybe 30% of ...
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2answers
151 views

Risk management strategies for ETF portfolio

I have an ETF portfolio (MSCI World, Euro Stoxx 600) and I'm following a "buy and hold" strategy. But I would also like to learn more about risk management strategies. More precisely, I'd like to ...
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1answer
466 views

What kinds of ETFs weathered well the 2008-2009 financial crisis?

I started to do research on which ETFs kept or increased their value over a recession in 2008-2009. I saw a lot of articles which says "invest in X, because X is always in demand (even in crisis)." X ...
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6answers
403 views

Rational risk-assessment decision framework: Should I buy health insurance?

Update: I've posted a sub-question on the math stack exchange to help answer part of this primary question. Sub-question: Toy problem: How much should I rationally be willing to pay for this ...
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1answer
123 views

Is the issuer of an ETF a risk to consider?

When it comes the price of an ETF, I understand that it reflects the value of the underlying assets. What happens where a company that issues ETF comes into play on the decision of people whether to ...
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1answer
102 views

How often do regular businesses hedge their economic risks?

It's claimed that derivative instruments were made to allow real businesses to hedge their risks (unpredictable increase of supplies price, decrease price of the product in the future and so on, ...
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1answer
57 views

What are the ways to price a holding company?

I would like to know how people value holding companies. I guess the most famous one is Berkshire ($BRK.A - $BRK.B). And others exist. These holdings usually have a lot of exposure to realestate, PE ...
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4answers
926 views

Worried about wife's spending habits with impending lump sum

My wife of 18 years has a problem with money. She has stolen from banks using my identity, falsified documents to get cars, and has been to prison over it. I pay for everything and give her ...
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1answer
185 views

How can I defend my wealth from targeted attacks?

The more money I save the more paranoid I become about it. I have two concerns: Someone I argued with years ago sues me to squeeze out some money from me. The government itself wants to take my ...
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17k views

How can I protect my 401(k) when the stock market is performing badly?

I just opened my 401(k) at the beginning of 2017. In 2017 it did great because of the bull market, but since 2018 I've lost about $1,000. All of my contributions this year have been a complete waste. ...
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1answer
602 views

How can I combine winrate, (risk/reward), and expectancy into a single formula?

winrate = wins / (wins + losses) I fiddled around with it and found that: requiredWinrate = risk / (reward + risk) Expectancy formula expectancy = (winProbability x averageWin) - (lossProbability ...
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3answers
691 views

How can I calculate the volatility(standard deviation) of a stock price? and/or ROI (return on investment) of a stock?

I'm trying to build my first portfolio, I've already have set out my monetary goals, graded my risk tolerance and determined the asset allocation I wanted to go with. So, now for the next step I need ...
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1answer
79 views

Which market orders to meet this recommendation : 'Take a position on the purchase of the fooBar share, protect your capital by placing a stop'

I'm just getting started in the process of learning how to trade. I just wanted to know how should I interprete the following sentence : "Active investors will take a position on the SYNERGY share ...
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1answer
192 views

What makes one smart and/or successful in investing? [closed]

Pretty broad question, but I hear these things thrown around a lot and was wondering if such a canonical or straightforward definition exists. To make this simple: What makes an investor "smart" as ...
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2answers
413 views

What are some signs that the stock market might crash? [closed]

I have about one year of experience as an investor and my goal is to aggressively grow my portfolio over the next 40 years for retirement. I have had good success achieving my goal over the last year ...
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2answers
954 views

Break Even On Options Contracts

Given a calendar options contract (sold 1 month out, bought 2 months out same strike price) and someone says to look to adjust/close out the position at the break even points. Do they mean break even ...
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2answers
152 views

How to mitigate the risk of Euro Stoxx 50 ETF?

I started building my retirement portfolio with an Euro Stoxx 50 ETF. To minimize the risk a bit I would like to buy another ETF (and have both 50-50 in my portfolio). Is buying a blue chip stocks ETF ...
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1answer
228 views

Is the risk premium with insurance higher or lower than investments?

Insurance of any kind is always going to have a lower expected value than self-insuring. If there's a 10% chance of a loss of ₹100 occurring, insurance companies will charge more than ₹10, to cover ...
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1answer
788 views

Finding Uncorrelated Assets

I own a particular security. How can I find another security, which has uncorrelated or negatively correlated (anti correlated) returns with the one I already own? I would like both securities to ...
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1answer
262 views

High risk investment [closed]

I have a spare £500 I do not mind losing too much. But, I do not just want to throw it away. I have found high risk investments like this one from JP Morgan Chase, and over the past few years all has ...
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2answers
733 views

Should I have more than one brokerage account?

I have my brokerage business with one particular well-known US brokerage house. I find being able to access my retirement accounts and personal investment accounts through the one interface useful. ...
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1answer
104 views

Are bond ETFs considered low risk in this market?

I'm thinking about moving my money to an automated management service. I've set my risk profile to 3.5 (low) which means they would invest around 35% in bond ETFs. With today's interest rates being ...
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1answer
299 views

Brainstorming: Homebrew “credit” card?

In response to another question (about how to make credit cards pay interest on any positive balance), I came up with an odd combination: Get an account with both a debit card and a linked overdraft-...
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35 views

Do the rewards of custom contract size in OTC derivatives justify the counterparty risk?

If I decide to trade OTC derivatives, I take on counterparty risk. Since the transaction is not overseen by a clearing house/firm, I accept the risk that the counterparty may not honour the obligation....
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1answer
212 views

Does anyone know where I can find a free efficient frontier tool, or an informative and legitamate/academic graph of the efficient frontier?

I'd like to build a portfolio based upon modern portfolio theory and I'd like to find a tool I can use to calculate the proper mix of asset classes. Can anyone help with this? I think a good chart/...
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3answers
283 views

Is this trick enough to totally prevent bankrupcy in a case of a crash?

I have a trading scheme that is very profitable but is also really dangerous because it opens a lot of trades at the same time with high leverage and else. So the trick is to open only short (sell) ...
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3answers
6k views

How is the Efficient Frontier drawn?

I know efficient frontier is the collection of expected return on a portfolio and the level of risk(e.g. standard deviation). What I don't understand is that is the efficient frontier really drawn ...
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1answer
109 views

Setting and measuring risk profile target for retirement account

I understand that as you age you want to slowly lower the risk profile of your retirement account, but how should I determine how much risk I should take on currently and how do I measure how much ...
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0answers
97 views

Forward Contract Extension

I was reading this article Below is a small snippet from the article. I'm wondering how Barrick gold could extend the hedge at its own option. How would this be executed and how do they have this ...
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1answer
2k views

When to liquidate mutual funds for a home downpayment

I have about $18k in mutual fund assets that I am planning to use for a down payment on a home within the next 1-2 years. Combined cost basis for the assets in question is +$2,800. Right now the asset ...
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2answers
219 views

Does long term asset growth really converge to that derived from compound interest formula?

Many websites/experts claim that the longer you hold your assets, the likelier your asset's return is closer to that predicted by the compound interest formula. However, some other experts claim ...
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3answers
531 views

What is the theory behind Rick Van Ness's risk calculation in the video about diversification?

In the video, Rick Van Ness states the following scenario: Stock A has a 7% return with +/- 1% risk Stock B has a 3.5% return with +/- 0.5% risk Stock A and B are perfectly negatively correlated. A ...
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230 views

Is there an advantage to international stock diversfication?

I'd like to reduce my risk of investing solely in the U.S. stock market compared to the rest of the world. However, my concern is that perhaps the U.S. stock market already has such international ...
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2k views

Forex vs day trading for beginner investor

In essence, for a person that has not had any real experience with either (except for playing around in simulators like investopedia): which one would an individual have the most potential to ...
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4answers
182 views

Can the risk of investing in an asset be different for different investors?

If 2 people invest the same amount in the same asset at the same time, will their risk be different if they use different risk management strategies? Say Inventors A and B both buy 1000 shares in ...