Questions tagged [risk]

Risk is the potential that a chosen action or activity (including the choice of inaction) will lead to a loss (an undesirable outcome). The notion implies that a choice having an influence on the outcome sometimes exists (or existed). Potential losses themselves may also be called "risks". Any human endeavor carries some risk, but some are much more risky than others.

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Why are ETFs rated at 6 on Risk and Reward Profiles?

I am considering investing some money in shares and since I do not at all a specialist, I wanted to do this on ETFs that would be aligned with some large indexes (iShares Europe for instance). My ...
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Why is simply buying an in-money-call and a lower strike price put near an event date a good low-risk high-reward strategy?

My premise is that buying both an in-money-call and an lower strike price put near an event date, is perhaps, one of the better low-risk high-reward strategy. Why? If the stock moves significantly ...
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What percentage of companies could have a consistent lower "return on capital" to its owners/shareholders and a higher risk than the S&P 500?

What percentage of companies/startups in the US or any other country could have a consistent lower "return on capital" to its owners/shareholders and at the same time a higher risk than the ...
24 votes
11 answers
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Why should I hold stocks for the long term when the risk of more companies going bankrupt increases over time?

The longer the time frame, the larger the risk that any given company is going to go bust. If this is the case, then why is long term stock investing encouraged? Isn't it more risky to invest for the ...
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Can I trust Zelle to credit my account for added charges?

I listed a dress for $300 on FB Marketplace. The buyer uses Zelle so I set up an account because D said that was the only way she sent funds. She said she sent Zelle the money. So I get an email ...
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Financial and/or credit risk management

A portfolio consists of two (long) assets £100 million each. The probability of default over the next year is 10% for the first asset, 20% for the second asset, and the joint probability of default is ...
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3 answers
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What is the downside for covered call options?

What is the downside of selling covered calls on the stocks or ETFs you own that have appreciated significantly from their original purchase price?
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Calculate the required return using an asset pricing model

The current stock price of HHBA A is 101.00$. The last dividend payed for HHBA A is 3.50$, and dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 6%. Now i should calculate the required return using ...
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Understanding buying power and position size relative to fixed percentage risk on total capital in any given trade?

I'm trying to wrap my head around understanding buying power, position size and how it's relative to how much I can risk in any single given trade depending on my initial total capital. For example, ...
19 votes
3 answers
4k views

Why would long-term investor care about volatility? [duplicate]

I'm 35 and I want to start investing for my retirement. My question is, why would you care about volatility if your investment horizon is 30+ years? In order to get a more clear picture of volatility ...
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How do GICs compare to something like an S&P500 index fund in terms of risk? [closed]

How do GICs compare to something like an S&P500 index fund in terms of risk? Could it be argued that index funds are generally as safe as any investment? Is there any data or models to measure or ...
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Today Stock Price is 15. Find value of Call Option

Stock price is $15 today. In a year, it has 50%-50% chances of going up or down. If it goes up, then 80% probability of the price being $25. If it goes down, then there is a 40% probability of price ...
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2 votes
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How much risk is there in securities lending? [duplicate]

I worked for a startup for many years and as a result I have a lot of shares in a company that went public via a SPAC deal. I know it's risky but I'm choosing to sell them over a period of a few years ...
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4 votes
3 answers
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How can a mutual fund be considered any risk at all if it has an average 5 year 17% return? [duplicate]

I am confused as to why mutual funds/ETFs in lets say BRSVX - Bridgeway Small-Cap Value could be considered having any risk since the 5 year return is at 17%. Doesnt that mean that in 5 years it hasn'...
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4 votes
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Buying a home in a high-price, climate change-exposed region

I moved to southern California recently for work. This is the first time I'm stable enough to consider buying a home. Based on some standard decision rules for home buying, I'm ready: I can afford the ...
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2 answers
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How do the long-term returns of a high-variance investment compare to those of a low-variance investment?

Variance over the short-term is a useful way of comparing the risk of investments. Got a home purchase or large medical expense coming up? Better not to have too high variance on your invested savings....
1 vote
1 answer
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Did I give bad advice about investing in market making firms?

Background: I recently explained to an amateur trader (who happens to be a family member) about the basics of the bid-ask spread and how market makers make money from the spread. As an offhand remark, ...
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3 votes
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Diversification vs VTSAX

What advantage do I gain by holding a mix of mutual funds over just VTSAX? One oughtn't put all one's eggs in one basket. One mitigates risk by holding multiple distinct asset classes in multiple ...
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1 answer
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Searching for stock risk measure where a value of around 15 is fine

I am reading through some stock analysis documents (unfortunately they don't seem to be available online). They calculate something that they call "risk". For Amazon stocks its around 18 (...
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What is the highest return risk-free investment available?

Investing is about balancing risk and reward. Any good investment will typically allow for nominal risk for a healthy return, but let's suppose that's not what I'm looking for. I want something with ...
1 vote
1 answer
86 views

If I buy to close a call position and the option writer defaults, am I liable for the original position?

Let's say that I sell covered calls and they are purchased by Alice. Later, I buy these calls (which were written by Bob) to close my position. Let's say that Bob's short calls were naked. Suppose ...
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2 votes
3 answers
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Should I invest 50% of my savings (20K) into a family business?

Somebody in my family is proposing an investment opportunity. The deal is as follows. You put 20K and he is going to use it to sow rice, the return depends on the price per kg of rice but he tells me ...
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5 answers
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If options gives you the RIGHT but not the OBLIGATION to exercise them, then why are they being forcefully exercised if they expired in the money?

Now, I know what you're thinking. If it's in the money, isn't it good that your broker automatically exercise the options for you on expiration date? Well, yes and no. If you somehow managed to miss ...
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Is it possible for a stock that is consecutively trading above $1 to get delisted?

Is it ever possible that a stock that is consecutively trading above $1 to get delisted? If so, how, and for what reasons? And if it happens, how often does it happen?
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Risks of using home equity for high risk market investing

I bought a home after the market crash in 2009 and I have quite a bit of equity in it now (100k). I still have 20 years until I retire and currently my main brokerage account is very high risk / high ...
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Can a risky asset have negative beta coefficient?

I have a question from my tutorial asking whether Can a risky asset have negative beta coefficient? I can only think of how this is possible only if risk-free rate is more than the expected returns, ...
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2 answers
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When buying an insurance policy, is it necessary to analyze the credit risk of the insurance company?

When saving money in a bank, one does not have to worry about credit risks of the bank because there is deposit insurance. When buying insurance, do I have to worry about the credit risk of the ...
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4 votes
2 answers
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What is the most risk-free way to invest a lump sum of cash for 1-2 years? [duplicate]

I received a signing bonus with my most recent position for which, if I leave the company after one year I must return half, and can keep the entire amount if I stay two years. I am a very risk-averse ...
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28 votes
8 answers
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What are the options to beat the returns of an index fund, taking more risk?

I am young, and will start my career in about three years. I do NOT live nor have any intention of ever moving to the United States, and I will probably be based in Europe for my career and after (...
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5 votes
1 answer
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Should retail investors learn and use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM)?

I heard that the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is commonly studied by finance students, and can help in controlling risk in stock portfolios. The CAPM looks rather complex as it seems to require ...
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11 votes
1 answer
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Moving a 401k balance to multiple FDIC-insured IRAs to protect my funds against being wiped out by a market crash?

My wife and I are living on our Social Security benefits. I've been very pleased with the growth of my Fidelity 401k in my former employer's retirement plan. As far as I know, I can leave my balance ...
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Is an issuer risk free financial product secure if the bank holding it goes under?

When purchasing ETFs or other financial products, I only choose finance products that are "issuer risk free", which means that in case the institution that sells these products goes broke I ...
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2 answers
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What kind of stocks are riskier than average?

What kind of stocks are riskier than the 'average' stock, and thus should be avoided? Please articulate the reasoning as much as possible.
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Are government bonds really risk-free?

When I read finance textbooks, I read things like "assume that the risk-free rate is equal to the yield on 30-year government bonds", "the government bond earns at the risk-free rate&...
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3 votes
4 answers
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401(k) opt out Company matched funds allocated

Based on the current volatile climate unfavorably forecasting the future of brick and mortar retail stores facing continued lost revenue, the unprecedented growth of eCommerce, and to further damper ...
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What are the implications of ETFs lending out their holdings?

I've noticed some ETFs describing how they can lend out their holdings, usually for some amount of collateral (cash, U.S. government securities, stand-by letters of credit, etc). If we take GDX, for ...
-4 votes
2 answers
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How would the discovery of El Dorado impact the price of gold? [closed]

I have gold in my long-term investment portfolio and I am worried about sudden over-supplies of gold. If a City of Gold (e.g. El Dorado) or the Nazi gold train is discovered in the future, how can I ...
2 votes
1 answer
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Constructive and relatively safe investment options

I'm a single, a grad student, and have some personal savings. Saving money is in my character, and for the last 5 years, I've been saving 1/8th of my monthly income, on average. In the future, I know ...
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3 votes
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Have changes to mortgage standard variable rates ever diverged much from changes to base rate?

Historically, although SVRs tend to be a few percent above base rate, has any lender's SVR ever made a drastic change that wasn't caused by a change in base rate? This is in the context of risk of ...
1 vote
0 answers
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Understanding overnight debt fund portfolios

I'm trying to understand the differences between overnight funds and a bank savings account or fixed deposit in terms of safety. These are both common ways to park money for short periods. I know that ...
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1 answer
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Legal owner of funds and ETFs underlying assets and risks associated with it

If you invest in a mutual fund, you aren't actually the owner of the assets, the fund is. Is this different in the case of ETFs? Is the investor the legal owner of the corresponding ETF's underlying ...
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5 answers
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How to best make 100k EUR from 20k EUR within in 18 months [closed]

We will need around 100000 EUR by the end of 2021. We are willing to invest 20000 EUR. So how would we quintuple our funds within 18 months? We are aware that this is a high-risk undertaking and that ...
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5 votes
1 answer
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Minimize risk of losing a lot of value for your savings during the corona crisis [closed]

Which investment possibilities are there for minimizing the risk that your cash savings (for simplicity let's say 100,000$) will severely lose value during the corona crisis? The focus is on avoiding ...
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2 votes
1 answer
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What happened to LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management)?

I recently learned about the LTCM fiasco and I find it ludicrous. From Wikipedia: Initially successful with annualized return of over 21% (after fees) in its first year, 43% in the second year and ...
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1 answer
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How market regulations in different countries affect to the investment risk [closed]

There are some countries that have less market freedom than others (see Index of economic freedom by countries. Let's take into account only developed countries (USA, EU, UK, Australia etc.). Do ...
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Are funds in 403b accounts and Social Security secure in the event of a depression?

Are funds in 403b accounts in the event of a national depression, such as in the 1920s, secure, or are they lost? And since a depression involves the whole nation, Social Security will end, correct?
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Are uninsured financial institutions riskier places to keep my wealth, now that cryptocurrencies make embezzlement easier?

Suppose that one or more high-level officers at a stock brokerage, or other retail financial institution, decide to embezzle most of the assets held there. The embezzlers liquidate the assets into ...
2 votes
1 answer
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how to derisk amazon affiliate business (physical product delivery in hundreds of niches)?

We have a small business where we publish content online and make revenue from amazon commissions. Someone buys something using our affiliate links, then amazon pays us commission of 1-5%. It ...
1 vote
1 answer
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Should I worry that an online broker I buy securities from might not be in business when I want to sell them?

I would like to buy ETFs via an online broker in Denmark that is not affiliated with the bank that manages my regular deposit. Is there a possibility that this broker might not be in in business ...
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67 votes
10 answers
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If a broad long-term investment in the stock market is such a good deal, why don't banks do the "obvious" things?

There is a fundamental discrepancy or paradox that has been keeping me, and many others, away from the stock market. Before I explain it, let me mention some selected popular questions on this site in ...
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