Questions tagged [risk]

Risk is the potential that a chosen action or activity (including the choice of inaction) will lead to a loss (an undesirable outcome). The notion implies that a choice having an influence on the outcome sometimes exists (or existed). Potential losses themselves may also be called "risks". Any human endeavor carries some risk, but some are much more risky than others.

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1answer
1k views

Moving a 401k balance to multiple FDIC-insured IRAs to protect my funds against being wiped out by a market crash?

My wife and I are living on our Social Security benefits. I've been very pleased with the growth of my Fidelity 401k in my former employer's retirement plan. As far as I know, I can leave my balance ...
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Is an issuer risk free financial product secure if the bank holding it goes under?

When purchasing ETFs or other financial products, I only choose finance products that are "issuer risk free", which means that in case the institution that sells these products goes broke I ...
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2answers
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What kind of stocks are riskier than average?

What kind of stocks are riskier than the 'average' stock, and thus should be avoided? Please articulate the reasoning as much as possible.
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172 views

Are government bonds really risk-free?

When I read finance textbooks, I read things like "assume that the risk-free rate is equal to the yield on 30-year government bonds", "the government bond earns at the risk-free rate&...
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4answers
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401(k) opt out Company matched funds allocated

Based on the current volatile climate unfavorably forecasting the future of brick and mortar retail stores facing continued lost revenue, the unprecedented growth of eCommerce, and to further damper ...
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40 views

What are the implications of ETFs lending out their holdings?

I've noticed some ETFs describing how they can lend out their holdings, usually for some amount of collateral (cash, U.S. government securities, stand-by letters of credit, etc). If we take GDX, for ...
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2answers
151 views

How would the discovery of El Dorado impact the price of gold? [closed]

I have gold in my long-term investment portfolio and I am worried about sudden over-supplies of gold. If a City of Gold (e.g. El Dorado) or the Nazi gold train is discovered in the future, how can I ...
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38 views

When to use Macaulay Duration / Modified Duration / Dollar Duration?

So I am sort of aware of how to calculate those numbers, but I am not quite sure, when to use which Duration? It's for a corporate finance class if it matters. Duration: determine the approximate ...
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1answer
180 views

Constructive and relatively safe investment options

I'm 24 years old, single, a grad student, and have some personal savings. Saving money is in my character, and for the last 5 years, I've been saving 1/8th of my monthly income, on average. In the ...
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0answers
34 views

Have changes to mortgage standard variable rates ever diverged much from changes to base rate?

Historically, although SVRs tend to be a few percent above base rate, has any lender's SVR ever made a drastic change that wasn't caused by a change in base rate? This is in the context of risk of ...
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Understanding overnight debt fund portfolios

I'm trying to understand the differences between overnight funds and a bank savings account or fixed deposit in terms of safety. These are both common ways to park money for short periods. I know that ...
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1answer
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Legal owner of funds and ETFs underlying assets and risks associated with it

If you invest in a mutual fund, you aren't actually the owner of the assets, the fund is. Is this different in the case of ETFs? Is the investor the legal owner of the corresponding ETF's underlying ...
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5answers
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How to best make 100k EUR from 20k EUR within in 18 months [closed]

We will need around 100000 EUR by the end of 2021. We are willing to invest 20000 EUR. So how would we quintuple our funds within 18 months? We are aware that this is a high-risk undertaking and that ...
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1answer
454 views

Minimize risk of losing a lot of value for your savings during the corona crisis

Which investment possibilities are there for minimizing the risk that your cash savings (for simplicity let's say 100,000$) will severely lose value during the corona crisis? The focus is on avoiding ...
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1answer
69 views

What happened to LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management)?

I recently learned about the LTCM fiasco and I find it ludicrous. From Wikipedia: Initially successful with annualized return of over 21% (after fees) in its first year, 43% in the second year and ...
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1answer
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How market regulations in different countries affect to the investment risk [closed]

There are some countries that have less market freedom than others (see Index of economic freedom by countries. Let's take into account only developed countries (USA, EU, UK, Australia etc.). Do ...
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1answer
62 views

Are funds in 403b accounts and Social Security secure in the event of a depression?

Are funds in 403b accounts in the event of a national depression, such as in the 1920s, secure, or are they lost? And since a depression involves the whole nation, Social Security will end, correct?
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Are uninsured financial institutions riskier places to keep my wealth, now that cryptocurrencies make embezzlement easier?

Suppose that one or more high-level officers at a stock brokerage, or other retail financial institution, decide to embezzle most of the assets held there. The embezzlers liquidate the assets into ...
2
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1answer
63 views

how to derisk amazon affiliate business (physical product delivery in hundreds of niches)?

We have a small business where we publish content online and make revenue from amazon commissions. Someone buys something using our affiliate links, then amazon pays us commission of 1-5%. It ...
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1answer
96 views

Should I worry that an online broker I buy securities from might not be in business when I want to sell them?

I would like to buy ETFs via an online broker in Denmark that is not affiliated with the bank that manages my regular deposit. Is there a possibility that this broker might not be in in business ...
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10answers
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If a broad long-term investment in the stock market is such a good deal, why don't banks do the “obvious” things?

There is a fundamental discrepancy or paradox that has been keeping myself, and many others, away from the stock market. Before I explain it, let me mention some selected popular questions on this ...
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1answer
89 views

Is the convertible bond arbitrage strategy really riskless if share price rises a lot?

Convertible bond arbitrage is a position when one goes short the company's stock and long the company's convertible bond. I have found many articles on the Internet stating that this is a riskless ...
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2answers
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Is there a rule of thumb for percentage of liquid holdings to put on a risky investment?

If I, 24 years old living in the US, believe in a risky investment, say identifying a severely undervalued stock or going long on a put option, is there a rule of thumb for how much I should be ...
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2answers
112 views

how can you calculate the sweet spot for a risk / reward ratio in a partnership

Let's take 2 parties, A and B. A has a tool that can raise the value of an investment by a known quantity (Q) with an estimated risk factor (R). A failure would incur a loss of (L). B has money (M) ...
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1answer
268 views

How safe are neo-banks?

In Australia there are a swath of 'neo-banks', banks that have no physical presence - typically are a 'mobile-first' experience. Some examples are Up, Xinja, 86400. These banks are typically pretty ...
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1answer
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For a mutual fund - if jensen's alpha keeps increasing with time, then how does beta of the mutual fund get impacted with time?

I am building an excel model to calculate rolling alpha at a monthly level to analyze different equity mutual funds. Along with the rolling alpha, I am also calculating rolling absolute returns and ...
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1answer
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Is it necessary to have different asset allocation for short-term needs?

I'm in my early 20s and have 60K in retirement accounts and 80K in taxable accounts. Both are invested in low-cost mutual funds, 80/20 stock/bond split (specifically 60% VTSAX, 20% VTIAX, 20% VBTLX). ...
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2answers
215 views

Is there any risk in keeping lots of assets with one broker? [duplicate]

I'm in the USA. Currently, the bulk of my net worth is in accounts with TD Ameritrade. Right now, that's only about $30,000, but I plan to keep contributing; hopefully in a few decades, I'll have a ...
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1answer
178 views

Outsourcing rental risk: selling right to rent house?

I am wondering whether there is a way to get rid of the risk associated with renting a property one owns by selling the right to rent that property for a certain period? I am especially interested in ...
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2answers
161 views

Is it safe and smart to keep all your money in SAVINGS account in India? [closed]

I am a Software Engineer by profession and passion. I am facing problems with chosing how shall I invest my money. I have worked for 3 years now, and have around 40 lacs INR total earnings which I ...
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6answers
13k views

Is putting money in a 401(k) plan risky?

I've been working for a company that offers me a MassMutual 401(k) plan as a benefit. The employer's match is 50% of my contribution. I've contributed 3% of my gross salary to the plan, and planning ...
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2answers
158 views

How to enter an order to buy or sell stocks with the intent to cancel without risk?

There was a market crash in 2010, in that it is alleged that the scammer entered the sell orders with intention to cancel. With my experience, once I enter an order( limit or market) with a ...
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1answer
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Would deflation further stress the Federal Government's Balance Sheet? Would this put in peril Debt payments and Social Security benefits?

I would like to know if deflation would represent a risk to Debt (bond) payments and Social Security benefits. To my understanding, Social Security is only indexed when there is positive inflation. ...
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4answers
248 views

Is high return and low risk possible?

In finance, we often see that high return instruments should be accompanied by high risk. Is it possible to have a high return and a low risk financial instrument?
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Options trade - statistically expected return calculation?

I also asked this question here, for it to get more visibility. I am calculating expected return for composite option strategies based on event probabilities provided by the broker. For example, ...
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4answers
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How invisible hand adjusts stock prices if company is listed on multiple exchanges, under multiple currencies, and one of the currencies plunges?

I'm an absolute beginner in economics and in the stock exchange and just encountered my first company that was listed in multiple stock exchanges and in multiple currencies. I'm aware of the invisible ...
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2answers
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Is it risky to move from broad geographical diversification into investing mostly in less developed markets?

I currently invest in a handful of index funds that includes U.S. equities, U.K. equities, some emerging markets, and some Asian equities. But I have in mind that the West is eyeball deep in debt, ...
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3answers
407 views

Should we consider real estate investment low, middle or high risk?

Should private investors investing in a specific (that is, not through some fund) real estate treat it as low, middle or high risk? Issues I consider: It's true that things move slowly in real ...
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1answer
73 views

Franchise expected survival/failure rate [closed]

What are good stats about the rate of survival/failure of franchises? I get to hear that McDonald's restaurants tend to live longer than Subway's, but don't know how reliable that is. Around me, I ...
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2answers
155 views

Lowering mortgage downpayment vs Investing in stocks? [duplicate]

I live in a country where currently mortgage interest rates are historically low (around 3-4% for 300K 30 years mortgage, and the interest is also tax deductible), and the banks are willing to finance ...
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0answers
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What do I need to know about investing in developing countries?

My wife is Sri Lankan and we have some cash assets there, but we both live in Australia. Sri Lanka has restrictions on taking money out of the country - essentially it looks like you can only take $...
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5answers
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Who buys a weak currency?

Suppose I want to convert Zimbabwean dollars into US dollars. Who will buy the Zimbabwean dollars from me? That is, why would they ever agree to change their valuable US dollars into the less valuable ...
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1answer
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Yield on municipal bonds versus treasury

I'm looking right now at the yields in Municipal bonds and Treasury bonds on Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/us and I see that yields on Municipal bonds are ...
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6answers
9k views

How risky is real estate?

I have a friend who plans to retire by putting all of his money in local real estate. He makes a huge return on investment on the property he has now - something like 25%. Fundamentally, I think ...
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2answers
175 views

Is there any data on the degree to which confidential financial information is taken from trash and then used fraudulently?

This question is prompted by How to Safely Destroy a Large Quantity of Valid Blank Checks. For decades, I've put torn up confidential financial information into the garbage (not the recyclable trash),...
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0answers
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Computing risk-neutral probability of spot rates

I am trying to use a binomial model to price options wtih bonds as the underlying security.If the current term structure is flat at 6%, but next year, I assume the one-year spot rate will be either 5% ...
2
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1answer
157 views

Risks and threats in signing empty SSA-89 form

A financial institution is asking to sign form SSA-89 which is used for verification of the social security number assigned a person. This verification is requested by a third party. The third party's ...
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1answer
63 views

How to properly tune insurance deductible/excess for risk appetite

We all know you can arrange a higher deductible (USA) or excess (UK) to pay a lower insurance premium. My question is, is there an established method to identify what is the optimal size of ...
3
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1answer
125 views

Holding shares of company filing for bankruptcy

I own few shares of PG&E and recently got an intimation from my broker regarding the chapter 11 bankruptcy filing by PG&E. However, I also see the stock price going up for some reason. I ...
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1answer
169 views

What are the risks with investing in private real estate funds via Fundrise?

I recently discovered this real estate investment company, Fundrise, and after doing some research, I’m interested in investing with them. But I’m on the fence about the trustworthiness of their ...

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