So I've been just doing some research, I'm just curious what would be the smart decision for investing in stocks like this, is there potentially a way to profit from this? Right now I'm just learning as much as I can before I actually decide to invest any advice would be most appreciated.

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    In extremely general terms, typically the acquiring company dips and the company being acquired is pushed up... It's by no means a rule. – quid Sep 15 '16 at 20:50
  • Of course the problem also includes predicting when this will happen, early enough to make the bet before the prices shift, without violating insider trading rules. As far as I can tell, this is another case of "you probably can't get any milage out of it as a retail investor" ... And simple long-term investment probably produces higher returns. – keshlam Sep 16 '16 at 17:15

There is a strategy called merger-arbitrage where you buy the stock of the acquired company when it sells for less than the final acquisition price. Usually the price will rise to about the acquisition price fairly rapidly after the merge is announced, so you have to move fast.

The danger is that the merger gets called off (regulatory reasons, the acquired company board votes no) and you get left holding shares bought at a price higher than the price after the merger collapses.

This is kind of an advanced strategy and a tough one to back test since each M&A deal is unique.


There's an old adage in the equities business - "buy on rumor, sell on fact". Sometimes the strategy is to buy as soon as the rumor is out about a potential merger and then sell off into the news when it is actually announced, since this is normally when the biggest bounce occurs as part of a merger.

The other part of the analysis you should do is to understand which of the companies benefits most (or is hurt the worst) by the merger and then make your play accordingly. Sometimes the company being acquired will see a bounce while the acquiring firm takes a hit, which is an indication the experts think the acquisition will be a drag on the acquiring company (perhaps because it is taking on a great deal of debt to make the acquisition, or because the acquiring firm is paying too much of a premium for what it's getting in return). Other times the exact opposite is true, where the company being acquired takes a hit while the buyer bounces, and again, the reasons for this can vary widely.

If you wait until the merger is actually announced then by the time you get in, most of the premium from the announcement will likely have already been realized, and you'll be buying near the top of the market for the stock. The key is to be ahead of the other sellers by seeing the opportunities before they do and then knowing when to get out before everyone else does. Not an easy thing to pull off when you're trying to anticipate the markets, but it can be done if you do the right research and have patience.

Good luck!

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