I've always been told that commodities trading is not really something the individual investor should get involved in. That the stock market is really much "easier" to work with.
Now, intuitively, this doesn't make sense to me. It seems like if you hear that a major orange producing region is suffering from a drought, it's pretty easy to guess that orange prices will rise.
Trying to make those same guesses about stock prices, though, just seems much harder.
So, is it the case that it's easier to successfully trade stocks than it is to trade commodities? If so, why?