I heard a claim that it is always the best strategy to invest money to the index fund. Why is the mistake in that sentence? Because I don't understand why there are investment advisers if we already know the best strategy. Are there scientific publications to show that the claim does not hold in every case for someone who claims that?
2Does this answer your question? Are Index Funds really as good as "experts" claim?– Chris W. ReaMay 18, 2022 at 13:13
Yes. I was just wondering if there are academic papers to show why index funds are the best. I mean, there can be so many different strategies to invest so I'm just interested to see the reasoning or mathematical models behind the claim.– questMay 18, 2022 at 14:05
The data here is quite clear:
For example: https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/index-funds-vs-mutual-funds
History has shown that it’s extremely difficult to beat passive market returns (a.k.a. indexes) year in and year out. In fact, for the 15 years ending in December 2016, more than 90% of U.S. large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap funds helmed by managers did worse than the S&P 500, according to S&P Dow Indices data.
For most investors a few well diversified index funds are the best choice.
Because I don't understand why there are investment advisers if we already know the best strategy.
Because there is a lot of money to made. This is a multi billion dollar industry with gobs of money to spend on marketing and lobbying. For example, many 401k plans don't offer index funds. There is no reason for this other than the benefits consultants and plan managers are lobbied heavily to push managed funds.
The following approach is sufficient for most investors
- Invest in broadly diversified index funds
- Adjust your bond/stock ratio depending on goals (usually retirement age).
- Once a year re-balance. i.e. make sure you don't have to much money in a single investment. In many case this is just a check with no actions needed.
Some people may have difficulties doing this themselves, so a financial advisor or a "target fund" can be helpful. You just have to be aware that you pay a hefty premium for this assistance.